Cover art for podcast Top Traders Unplugged

Top Traders Unplugged

300 EpisodesProduced by Niels Kaastrup-LarsenWebsite

Join Niels Kaastrup-Larsen as he explores the world of finance and investing, through weekly conversations with the most interesting and experienced investors, economists, traders & thought leaders. Learn from their experiences, their successes, and their failures. We don't want you to think like th… read more

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SI169: Buying the Dip ft. Richard Brennan

December 5th, 2021

1:10:15

Richard Brennan returns today to discuss the misconception of volatility as risk, thoughts on the various measures of risk, drawdowns as an …

TTU116: In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio ft. Steve Foerster

December 1st, 2021

1:06:57
'When you look into history, so-called derivative investment products that you think of as being recent, actually go back to 2400 BCE, in various forms. Call options go back to 600 BCE at least. In the 18th century BCE …

SI168: The Trading Secrets of Trend Followers ft. Mark Rzepczynski

November 28th, 2021

1:14:24

Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss how markets will react to the likely upcoming tapering policies of central banks around the world, how …

VOL005: Maintaining Liquidity & Cash Efficiency ft. Zed Francis

November 24th, 2021

1:09:14

Jason Buck is joined today by Zed Francis to discuss the benefits of adding volatility strategies to your portfolio, achieving a negative a …

SI167: The Road to Profits is Bumpy ft. Jerry Parker

November 22nd, 2021

1:03:49

Jerry Parker joins us today to discuss trading single stocks while maintaining a systematic approach, the benefits of trading a broad universe of assets, how investors naturally gravitate toward strategies with lesser …

VOL004: Profiting from Short-Term Volatility ft. Bastian Bolesta

November 18th, 2021

1:14:33

Special guest, Bastian Bolesta, joins Jason Buck today to discuss why volatility strategies should be added to our portfolios, how to keep improving …

SI166: Riding the Waves of Volatility ft. Hari Krishnan

November 14th, 2021

1:08:24

We’re joined by Hari Krishnan today, to discuss the ways in which Volatility strategies can complement Trend Following as a source of portfolio …

VOL003: The Evolution of the VIX ft. Stefan Wintner

November 10th, 2021

1:14:48

In today’s episode, Jason Buck is joined by Stefan Wintner of DUNN Capital, to discuss volatility as an asset class, the evolution of the VIX from …

SI165: Responsible Investing as a Trend Follower ft. Rob Carver

November 7th, 2021

1:25:38

Rob Carver joins us today to discuss the perception of cryptocurrencies since the new Bitcoin futures ETF was launched, scaling into and out of …

VOL002: Past, Present, & Future Volatility ft. Noel Smith

November 2nd, 2021

1:13:37

Today Jason Buck is joined by Noel Smith in the second of our series on Volatility. Topics discussed include: the benefits of ensemble investing, the …

SI164: Compounding - The 8th Wonder of the World ft. Richard Brennan

October 31st, 2021

1:06:25

This week, Richard Brennan joins us on the show to discuss how people can benefit from the effects of compounding while others end up a paying a price for it. We also cover some thoughts on ‘path dependency,' why those …

VOL001: The New Nature of Stock Market Movements ft. Hari Krishnan

October 26th, 2021

1:12:07

Today Jason Buck is joined by Hari Krishnan in the first of our series on Volatility. Topics discussed include: the benefits of adding volatility …

SI163: The Importance of Investment Narratives ft. Mark Rzepczynski

October 23rd, 2021

1:19:13

This week, Mark Rzepczynski joins us to discuss the Bitcoin ETF and the increasing likeliness that it won’t be banned by the US government, the need for money managers to convey good stories in order to simplify their …

SI162: Discussing The New Bitcoin Futures ETF ft. Moritz Seibert

October 17th, 2021

1:18:16

We’re joined today by Moritz Seibert to answer some of the hardest questions in the Turtle Trader entrance exam, as well as discuss the new Bitcoin futures ETF, the drive towards ESG investments and how this affects …

SI161: Retaking the Turtle Trader Entrance Exam ft. Jerry Parker

October 9th, 2021

1:01:47

Jerry Parker joins us for a very special episode today, where we invite him to answer the original interview questions from Richard Dennis’s famous Turtle Trader program. This is a fascinating insight into the world of …

SI160: Long-Term Performance vs Short-Term Hot Streaks ft. Rob Carver

October 3rd, 2021

1:04:29

Rob Carver returns to the show today to discuss the varying performances among CTAs during the notable market moves of the last few weeks, how to decide whether one system is better or worse than another, spread betting …

SI159: Embracing Uncertainty for Outsized Returns ft. Richard Brennan

September 25th, 2021

1:08:02

Richard Brennan joins us today to discuss the stabilising effect that a healthy allocation to Trend Following can have on a portfolio, how to achieve …

SI158: The Secrets to Raising Capital ft. Mark Rzepczynski

September 18th, 2021

1:30:32

Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss why people are as important as processes when investors are choosing funds, the factors that can predict …

SI157: How to Make Money & Survive in the Markets ft. Jerry Parker

September 12th, 2021

1:05:59

Today we are joined by Jerry Parker to discuss how shorter-term systems can be more susceptible to market noise, the importance of sticking with your system during different market environments, how major investment …

SI156: The Case for Buying at All-Time Highs ft. Moritz Seibert

September 5th, 2021

1:04:56

Moritz Seibert joins us today to discuss the benefits of ‘system diversification’, the case for buying at all-time highs, how classical Trend …

SI155: How to Create the Perfect Backtest ft. Richard Brennan

August 28th, 2021

1:29:07

This week, Richard Brennan joins us to discuss whether there are any similarities between Trend Following and other investment approaches, the …

SI154: Defining 'Outliers' from a Trend Follower's Perspective ft. Richard Brennan

August 21st, 2021

1:05:09

Richard Brennan joins us today to discuss the current global risk factors that could cause a large liquidity event, what the term ‘outlier’ really …

SI153: Being Aware of Known & Unknown Risks ft. Mark Rzepczynski

August 14th, 2021

1:11:17

Mark Rzepczynski joins us on the show this week to discuss the importance of being aware of known and unknown risks, how economic data can contribute to a profitable system, the different types of liquidity, how futures …

SI152: Love Your Rules, But Not Your Positions ft. Jerry Parker

August 7th, 2021

1:15:53

Jerry Parker is on the show with us today to discuss Ethereum’s recent rise after a new ‘hard fork’, auto-correlation and its effects on Trend …

SI151 Long-Term Profitability vs Short-Term Luck ft. Moritz Seibert

July 31st, 2021

1:01:19

Today we’re joined by Moritz Seibert to discuss the efficacy of backtests, how to build a profitable spread trading model, Moritz’s addition of …

SI150: Extracting Edges from the Market ft. Richard Brennan

July 24th, 2021

1:06:41

This week, Richard Brennan from ATS Trading Solutions makes his debut on the show, and we discuss the complexity behind successful Trend Following …

SI149: Model Anxiety & Algorithm Aversion ft. Mark Rzepczynski

July 18th, 2021

1:08:23

Mark Rzepczynski joins us this week to discuss ‘algorithm aversion’ and the science of how ‘model anxiety’ shows investors to be naturally wary of …

SI148: The Importance of Capturing A Few Large Trends ft. Jerry Parker

July 11th, 2021

1:08:31

Jerry Parker returns today to discuss why margin perhaps isn’t as important as people perceive it to be, the resurgence of ‘classical’ Trend …

SI147: The Perfect Exit Strategy ft. Moritz Seibert

July 4th, 2021

1:04:30

Moritz Seibert joins us today discuss the benefits of stripping down your trading approach as much as possible, the various ways to exit a hugely profitable trade, the different forms of research related to your …

SI146: The Trend Following Mindset ft. Rob Carver

June 28th, 2021

1:29:40

We’re joined today by Rob Carver to discuss why investors worried about inflation need to be invested in Trend Following strategies, the Russell 2000 …

SI145: The 3 D's of Inflation ft. Mark Rzepczynski

June 20th, 2021

1:18:02

Mark Rzepczynski returns this week to discuss the recent decline in commodity prices, perceived hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, trading narratives versus trading price action, the feasibility of Trend …

SI144: Why Single Stocks Should Matter to CTAs ft. Jerry Parker

June 13th, 2021

1:21:30

Jerry Parker joins us on the show today to discuss why CTAs could be mistaken in excluding single stocks from their strategies, the possible benefits …

SI143: How Decentralised Is Bitcoin? ft. Eric Crittenden

June 7th, 2021

1:26:10

Special guest Eric Crittenden returns to the show today to discuss the fallacies of the typical 60/40 portfolio, the Federal Reserve’s recent …

TTU115: Building a Bulletproof Portfolio with Jason Buck of Mutiny Fund

June 1st, 2021

1:17:47
'The typical pie-chart of diversification ends up being all long-GDP assets, which means these are going to do well in a risk-on environment, when we’re awash with liquidity. The problem is, when we see a sell off or a …

SI142: How Decentralised Is Bitcoin Really? ft. Rob Carver

May 30th, 2021

1:29:16

Rob Carver is on the show with us today to discuss why Elon Musk & the Chinese government might be proving that Bitcoin may not be as …

SI141: Aligning 'Operation Tempo' with your Trading Personality ft. Mark Rzepcyznski

May 23rd, 2021

1:15:48

Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss China’s move to ban Bitcoin trading, the Federal Reserve’s announcement of research into a new central bank digital currency, some of the issues around inflation and how it …

SI140: Down Markets Are Often a Treasure to Trend Followers ft. Jerry Parker

May 16th, 2021

1:11:47

Jerry Parker joins us today to discuss the benefits of prioritising price over other factors, navigating a high-inflationary environment, how bad …

SI139: How to Beat Unpredictable Markets ft. Moritz Seibert

May 9th, 2021

1:04:13

Moritz Seibert returns to the show today to discuss the Berkshire Hathaway annual general meeting, the possible raise in interest rates by the …

SI138: The 'Holy Trinity' of Security Selection ft. Rob Carver

May 3rd, 2021

1:13:21

We’re joined today by Rob Carver to discuss the process of selecting single stocks for a Trend Following system, Rob’s holy trinity of security …

SI137: Can AI Trading Be Better Than Classical Methods? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

April 25th, 2021

1:21:01

Today, Mark Rzepczynski returns to the show to discuss how Trend Following allows investors to own more risky assets, Systematic Global Macro versus …

SI136: When Investments Become A Religion ft. Jerry Parker

April 18th, 2021

1:11:52

Jerry Parker returns to the show today to discuss the how investments can often turn into religions, the recent Coinbase IPO, using historical …

SI135: WHY Trend Following is the Safest Investment Strategy ft. Moritz Seibert

April 11th, 2021

1:17:19

Moritz Seibert joins us today to discuss the little-known hedge fund Archegos, who recently blew up and cost billions of dollars for large …

SI134: Sticking with Short Positions ft. Jerry Parker

April 4th, 2021

1:05:00

Jerry Parker is back on the show with us today to discuss why short positions are beneficial to a profitable trading strategy, the importance of not …

SI133: Volatility Targeting ft. Rob Carver

March 29th, 2021

1:21:25

Rob Carver joins us today to discuss whether it’s a good idea to adjust your strategy during different periods of volatility, Bitcoin’s expected role …

SI132: Overcoming Recency Bias for Better Decision Making ft. Mark Rzepcyznski

March 21st, 2021

1:28:48

Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss Jerome Powell’s recent speech and how central banks can often confuse markets, the potential of Artificial …

SI131: Winning Big During An Inflationary Environment ft. Moritz Seibert

March 14th, 2021

1:09:47

Moritz Seibert returns to the show today to discuss the challenges of managing large amounts of cash in a high-inflationary environment, the importance of maintaining a healthy attitude during long winning-streaks, the …

SI130: Volatility-Targeting: The Big Debate ft. Jerry Parker & Rob Carver

March 7th, 2021

1:23:28

We have a special episode for you today featuring Turtle Trading legend Jerry Parker and renown Systematic Investor Robert Carver, who debate the …

SI129: Correlation & Volatility…and is holding bonds “Stupid”? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

February 28th, 2021

1:16:10

We’re joined today by Mark Rzepczynski to discuss the return of the GameStop short-squeeze, Trend Following in a high interest-rate environment, the …

SI128: Investing during Inflationary or Deflationary periods ft. Jerry Parker

February 22nd, 2021

1:18:27

Jerry Parker returns today to discuss how Trend Following is perfectly suited for both inflationary and deflationary environments, why investors tend …

SI127: Bitcoin's rise to $50,000 & new Ethereum futures ft. Moritz Seibert

February 15th, 2021

1:04:50

Today, we discuss Bitcoin’s rise to $50,000 and how to judge its future role in society, Moritz’s incredible start to the year without changing any …

SI126: GameStop & How to become a Systematic Investor ft. Rob Carver

February 7th, 2021

1:38:06

Rob Carver returns to the show today to give us his thoughts on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum & their Gamestop short-squeeze, the gamification of trading, why Robinhood had to suspend trading on Gamestop, the …

SI125: Will the FED always prevent prolonged market crashes ft. Mark Rzepczynski

January 31st, 2021

1:19:12

Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss the Gamestop short-squeeze, democratisation of the investment industry, the increasing expectation among …

SI124: Why smart people often struggle with systematic investing ft. Jerry Parker

January 24th, 2021

1:01:30

Turtle Trading legend Jerry Parker joins us today to discuss why smart people often struggle with systematic investing, the benefits of …

SI123: The benefits of NOT taking profits too early ft. Moritz Seibert

January 18th, 2021

1:24:31

In today’s show, we discuss the benefits of not taking profits too early during huge price moves, how a Trend Follower might be trading Bitcoin, if …

SI122: Quant vs Discretionary Investing ft. Robert Carver

January 10th, 2021

1:21:40

We’re joined today by Rob Carver to discuss how quant managers compared to discretionary managers in 2020, Winton Capital’s underperformance and …

SI121: How to Design a Profitable Trend Following System

January 6th, 2021

36:15

In this episode, I conclude my special 2-part series on how to design a Trend Following system, with a deeper dive into some performance statistics …

SI120: Deep dive into my own Trend Following Model

January 2nd, 2021

37:01

In today’s special episode, I go deep into how to design a robust and profitable Trend Following program.  I also cover topics such as why having an …

SI119: Trading TESLA & Commodity Breakout ft. Jerry & Moritz

December 21st, 2020

1:22:28

Today we welcome back Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert onto the show to discuss the possible long-term breakout of commodity prices, trading Tesla around its inclusion into the S&P 500 index, carrying out non-system …

SI118: 2020 Trend Following Recap & safe-havens in 2021 ft. Mark & Moritz

December 13th, 2020

1:13:49

Special guest Mark Rzepczynski returns to the show today to discuss how Trend Following strategies performed during this very unusual year, the …

SI117: Why Stocks and Trend Following is a Perfect Match ft. Moritz Seibert

December 6th, 2020

1:12:44

Today, we discuss why a random calendar year is not a good measure of performance, recent increased volatility in alternative markets, how to define …

TTU114: 2021 Market Predictions ft. Mahendra Sharma of Financial Astrology

December 2nd, 2020

1:15:39

I first interviewed today’s guest back in 2015, where he predicted the Dow Jones Index would go to 32,000…a bold call back then. Mahendra Sharma is …

SI116: How to manage emotions regardless of your performance ft. Moritz Seibert

November 29th, 2020

1:00:48

In today’s episode, we discuss how to effectively manage your emotional stability regardless of trading performance, the true value of Bitcoin and the various catalysts behind its price movements, the importance of …

SI115: Open trade Equity vs Realized Profits and Value vs Growth ft. Rob and Moritz

November 22nd, 2020

1:27:47

Rob Carver returns to the show today to discuss the relevance of open trade equity compared to closed trade equity, the reported return of value’s …

SI114: The importance of Short Sellers and Pfizer CEO selling stocks ft. Moritz Seibert

November 16th, 2020

1:09:55

This week, we discuss the importance of short sellers for well-functioning markets, the benefits of trading index futures versus cash equities, …

TTU113: Why Farmland Investments is getting traction ft. Artem Milinchuk of FarmTogether

November 12th, 2020

1:05:54

Artem Milinchuk is the CEO and Founder of FarmTogether, a firm specializing in farmland investments. Artem was born in the waning days of the Soviet Union, and while growing up in Russia, saw the importance of access to …

SI113: The Unknown Market Wizards ft. Jack Schwager

November 9th, 2020

1:11:13

Today, we welcome legendary author Jack Schwager onto the show to discuss his new book ‘Unknown Market Wizards’ and a range of topics such as: what …

SI112: How and When to improve your trading system ft. Moritz Seibert

November 1st, 2020

1:12:33

In today’s episode, we discuss the continual need for improvements to a system, the importance of good housekeeping when it comes to managing a …

SI111: Trend Following pros and cons ft. Michael Covel

October 25th, 2020

1:07:52

Legendary Trend Following author & podcast host, Michael Covel, joins us today to discuss the far-reaching popularity of his books, the …

TTU112: The Art of Investing ft. Scott Lynn of Masterworks

October 22nd, 2020

57:52
“You have this asset class which has been around for hundreds of years, but up until recently I think people haven’t fully appreciated the …

SI110: US Election and how to trade Cryptos with rules ft. Moritz Seibert

October 19th, 2020

1:07:41

This week, we discuss how markets are handling current US presidential election uncertainty, why a healthy allocation to Trend Following strategies …

SI109: Investing like a legend ft. Perry Kaufman

October 12th, 2020

1:29:52

Systematic trading and Trend Following legend, Perry Kaufman, joins us on the show today to discuss the importance of being comfortable with risk, …

SI108: The case for and against the Kelly Criterion ft. Robert Carver

October 4th, 2020

1:22:05

Robert Carver joins us today to discuss the case for and against the Kelly Criterion, short vs medium vs long-term Trend Following, how closely you …

SI107: Best and Worst markets to trade and benefits of adding the S&P500 ft. Moritz Seibert

September 27th, 2020

1:13:07

In this episode, we discuss the best & worst markets for Trend Following strategies in recent years, the benefits of trading & investing …

SI106: Ray Dalio's underwhelming 2020 performance and the FED ft. Moritz Seibert

September 18th, 2020

58:18

Today, we discuss the Federal Reserve’s current inflation targets, whether it is ok for systematic managers to turn off their systems during periods …

SI105: TESLA & How paper trading can dramatically differ to live trading ft. Moritz Seibert

September 13th, 2020

52:37

On today’s show, we discuss Tesla’s threat to the current giants of European car manufacturing, how paper trading can dramatically differ to live trading, the drawbacks of Systematic Investing through a broker’s …

GM10: MMT, Global Warming and the Uniqueness of the 2020 Crisis ft. Steve Keen

September 9th, 2020

1:04:20

We are extremely honoured to welcome Steve Keen, the legendary Australian economist, to our podcast today. Steve is one of the leading critics of mainstream economics, and in our conversation provided a valuable …

SI104: Inconvenient truths about Trend Following ft. Roberto Osorio

September 7th, 2020

59:39

Today, we’re delighted to welcome Roberto Osorio, Vice President, Trading Systems at DUNN Capital, onto the show. Niels pitches Roberto some of our most fiercely debated topics so far, such as the optimal amount of …

SI103: FED's Powell, Dave Portnoy and the potential Bond market bubble ft. Robert Carver

August 31st, 2020

1:26:13

Rob Carver returns to the show this week to discuss Jerome Powell’s comments at Jackson Hole, the potential Bond market bubble that very few are …

GM09: Mistakes from the past to guide us forward ft. Lyn Alden

August 26th, 2020

1:01:33

We are very pleased to welcome Lyn Alden to the studio today, the founder of Lyn Alden investment strategy. Lyn is from an engineering background, and hence, as you might expect, brings a logical and rigorous approach …

SI102: TESLA and the famous Tech Bubble ft. Moritz Seibert

August 23rd, 2020

53:43

This week, we discuss Tesla’s meteoric stock price rise and its likely inclusion into the S&P 500, similarities between today’s parabolic moves …

GM08: Watch out for The Bond Market Vigilantes ft. Jim Bianco

August 21st, 2020

1:06:14

In today’s episode we are joined by Jim Bianco, the president and macro strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C.  Since 1990 Jim’s commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial …

GM07: The father of the Yield-Curve indicator ft. Campbell Harvey

August 19th, 2020

1:09:01

In today’s episode we are joined by Campbell Harvey, Professor of Finance at Duke University and Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research in Cambridge, Massachusetts.  Cam served as Editor of The …

SI101: Howard Mark’s comments on managing risk and market cycles ft. Moritz Seibert

August 17th, 2020

59:45

In this episode, we discuss the danger of financial products such as the Daily 3x Inverse Natural Gas ETN, the potential end of the 2020 bull market …

SI100: How to filter your trades and staying unemotional ft. Jerry Parker

August 9th, 2020

1:06:10

In this special anniversary edition of the Systematic Investor podcast, Jerry Parker joins us on the show to discuss why removing as many filters as …

GM06: The hidden danger of Passive Investing ft. Michael Green

August 4th, 2020

1:01:21

In today’s episode, we are joined by Michael Green. Michael has over 20 years as a portfolio manager, mainly in the global macro space. Recently he …

SI99: Trend Following on ETFs and how to safely invest more aggressively in stocks ft. Moritz Seibert

August 3rd, 2020

53:50

In today’s show, we discuss why a great defence is necessary for great portfolios, Trend Following on ETFs, why liquidity is often an …

GM05: FEDs reaction to the Global Pandemic ft. Danielle DiMartino Booth

July 28th, 2020

1:01:27

Our guest today is Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist for Quill intelligence. One of the major themes of our podcast series so far has been the reactions of central banks to the global pandemic, and it’s …

SI98: The secret to John. W. Henry's (owner of Liverpool FC and Boston Red Sox) success ft. Mark Rzepczynski

July 26th, 2020

1:23:57

Today, we’re delighted to welcome Mark Rzepczynski onto the show to discuss his time working with John W. Henry and what J. W. Henry’s ‘secret weapon’ was, the most effective way to gain downside protection, how to …

GM04: Global Macro from a High Level ft. Larry McDonald

July 24th, 2020

1:00:36

Today we are very lucky to welcome Larry McDonald as our guest. Larry is the founder of the Bear Traps report, and has extensive experience in …

GM03: The Dollar losing its Reserve Currency Status ft. Erik Townsend

July 22nd, 2020

1:04:11

Todays’ guest is Erik Townsend, host of the Macro voices podcast. Erik has an unusual background, as he had a very successful career as a …

SI97: Warren Buffett’s recent ‘value’ purchase ft. Robert Carver

July 21st, 2020

38:42

Today, Robert Carver joins us to discuss JP Morgan’s comments on markets being fabricated by central bank liquidity, Tesla’s incredible swings in market cap, thoughts on Warren Buffett’s recent ‘value’ purchase, the …

GM02: The failure of the Dollar ft. Preston Pysh

July 17th, 2020

1:04:07

Our guest for today’s episode is Preston Pysh, founder of BuffetsBooks.com and co-host at The Investors Podcast network. As a graduate of both West Point and John Hopkins, Preston is certainly the only person we have …

GM01: The COVID-19 Fallout ft. Julian Brigden

July 14th, 2020

1:06:27

Our guest in todays episode is Julian Brigden, co-founder of MI2 partners. Julian has decades experience in investment banking on both sides of the …

SI96: How RobinHood really makes its profits ft. Moritz Seibert

July 13th, 2020

47:25

On today’s episode, we discuss the clear link between stock market prices & the Federal Reserve balance sheet, the widening gap between the best & worst CTA performances, the influx of retail money into the …

BO117: Judging A “Book” By Its Cover

July 10th, 2020

7:46

How investors are easily swayed by misleading titles... costing them dearly.

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IT’s …

BO116: Are US Treasuries Still Safe?

July 9th, 2020

12:27

Are US Treasuries as safe as many investor think?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ …

BO115: Trend or Value Investing...why not Both?

July 8th, 2020

7:19

Meb Faber explains how to combine Trend Following with Buy & Hold.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 …

BO114: Why Too few Invest with CTAs

July 8th, 2020

6:29

Meb Faber on why investors are underinvested in Trend Following.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most …

BO113: Asset Allocation Using Correlations

July 6th, 2020

4:45

How to allocate a portfolio, accounting for market correlations?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most …

SI95: Jim Simon’s quotes on overriding your system and how to size your positions ft. Moritz Seibert

July 6th, 2020

50:09

This week, we give our thoughts on the inaccuracies of CTA replicator models, static risk versus dynamic risk, ways to approach variable position sizing, the power of a system being ‘good enough’, Jim Simon’s quotes on …

BO112: Combining Fundamental & Systematic Investing. Does it work?

July 3rd, 2020

10:43

Combining fundamental macro with price data. Does it work?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s …

BO111: Educating Financial Advisors About Systematic Investing

July 2nd, 2020

9:27

How to educate financial advisors about Trend Following strategies.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – …

BO110: Change vs Inconsistency

July 1st, 2020

5:00

The differences between changes leading to improvement & changes leading to inconsistency.

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BO109: Leverage & Volatility

June 30th, 2020

3:20

What level of Leverage should you use?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ books each …

BO108: The Case For Being Longer-Term & Systematic

June 29th, 2020

7:32

Jim O’Shaughnessy’s paper from 1987 confirms our thesis.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s …

SI94: Markets to avoid in Systematic Investing and David Harding interview ft. Moritz Seibert

June 29th, 2020

43:48

In today’s episode, we discuss David Harding’s interview from 2013 with the SEC Historical Society, possible mistakes to avoid in Systematic Investing, if there are any differences between market confidence and the …

BO107: Roughly Right or Precisely Wrong

June 27th, 2020

3:24

Why Trend Following strategies aren’t perfect.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ …

BO106: The Perfect Portfolio

June 25th, 2020

9:10

What would the ‘perfect portfolio’ look like?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ …

BO105: How to Trade Fixed Income

June 24th, 2020

6:33

How & where to trade Interest Rates.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ books …

BO104: What (really) Defines A Trend Following Trader?

June 23rd, 2020

7:50

What defines a Trend Following trader?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ books each …

SI93: Howard Mark’s latest memo, TESLA and Wirecard ft. Moritz Seibert

June 22nd, 2020

55:42

This week, we discuss the possible effects of recent bans on short selling, Howard Mark’s latest memo on the recent rally in asset prices, the Wirecard debacle of losing $1.9billion, Tesla’s ascension to having the …

BO103: Trend Following Explained in Less Than 15 Words

June 22nd, 2020

2:09

Why the term ‘Managed Futures’ may be misleading for some.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s …

BO102: Treating Markets Differently...True or False?

June 19th, 2020

9:44

Should you treat some markets differently?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ books …

BO101: Ignoring Short-Term Performance...even if it's Hard to do

June 17th, 2020

3:20

How much does luck play a part in short-term results?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read …

BO100: Embracing Both Longs & Shorts

June 17th, 2020

1:38

Why aiming for a balance of longs & shorts in your portfolio may be beneficial.

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BO99: Which Month of Futures Contracts should You Trade?

June 16th, 2020

3:02

Which month of futures contracts should you trade?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read …

BO98: The Cutoff Point For Equity Drawdowns...When Enough is Enough

June 15th, 2020

3:59

At what point does a drawdown become too much, before action has to be taken?

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IT’s …

SI92: How to add robustness to your trading and choosing the right time horizon ft. Robert Carver

June 15th, 2020

1:09:31

Robert Carver joins us back on the show to discuss why simulating ‘noisy’ data in your backtest can add to robustness, how similar strategies can …

BO97: The Most Influential Look-back Period and How to Find it

June 12th, 2020

4:58

Which timeframe holds the most influence on markets?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read …

BO96: Correlations Among Sectors & Asset Classes

June 10th, 2020

10:35

Dealing with correlations on different asset classes.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read …

BO95: Fully Systematic or Manual Overrides?

June 9th, 2020

14:48

Discussion on Bill Eckhardt’s comments on adding discretion to Systematic Trading.

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BO94: Dollar Cost Averaging Strategies..do the (really) work?

June 8th, 2020

1:04

Do losers really average losers?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year …

SI91: Disconnect between stock market prices and their expected returns ft. Moritz Seibert

June 7th, 2020

43:37

Today we discuss the disconnect between stock market prices & their expected returns based on economic data,  why current p&l may not reflect …

BO93: Increasingly Short-Term Expectations

June 5th, 2020

2:41

Can you really be hedged from 2-3pm?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ books each …

BO92: Volatility: The New Player In Town

June 4th, 2020

14:55

Chris Cole on Volatility… from a statistic to a tradable asset.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most …

BO91: Is Trend Following Too Crowded?

June 3rd, 2020

8:47

Is Trend Following becoming too crowded?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ books …

BO90: Can AI Trading Models Really Work?

June 2nd, 2020

5:21

Thoughts on AI trading systems, and how they handled the crash of 2020.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 …

BO89: How To Approach Risk Management

June 1st, 2020

7:42

A dive into Volatility Scaling as part of your Risk Management framework.

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IT’s TRUE

SI90: How to make 3000% in a month and why CTAs are the perfect portfolio ft. Jerry Parker

June 1st, 2020

1:21:38

Jerry Parker rejoins us today to discuss how single stocks behave differently to indexes, knowing when to ignore your backtests, multi-strategy CTAs …

BO88: When To Modify Your System...the $64,000 Question

May 28th, 2020

5:01

How to know when you should modify your system or take discretionary decisions.

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IT’s …

BO87: Incorporating Correlations Into Your Strategy

May 27th, 2020

6:17

How should you think about market correlations when designing your investment strategy.

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BO86: Should You Trade All Markets the Same Way?

May 26th, 2020

12:01

An explanation of why you may trade some markets differently, rather than treat all signals the same.

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BO85: Investments that (really) Work During Market Turmoil

May 25th, 2020

4:54

A look into strategies that worked during the recent market turmoil.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – …

SI89: Trend Following EFTs and Asness vs Taleb ft. Rufus Rankin

May 24th, 2020

58:25

We’re joined by special guest, Rufus Rankin of Ampersand Investment Management, to discuss Trend Following ETFs, the definition of a truly …

BO84: How Many Markets Are Too Many?

May 22nd, 2020

12:12

Is there an optimal number of markets to trade? We give you our views.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 …

BO83: What Does Diversification Really Mean?

May 21st, 2020

9:01

Rob Carver describes diversification, portfolio construction, & correlations.

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BO82: Trend Following & the 2020 COVID Crash

May 20th, 2020

11:11

Trend Following during a Time of Crisis.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ books …

BO81: Trend Following Terms Explained

May 19th, 2020

4:32

Convexity, Crisis Alpha, Smart Beta, and Implied Volatility…what does it all mean?

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BO80: How Big Is the Trend Following Space...Really?

May 18th, 2020

4:00

How much AUM is really in Trend Following & who are the players?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – …

SI88: The Holy Grail for eliminating risk completely ft. Robert Carver

May 17th, 2020

1:11:33

Robert Carver joins us to discuss the huge outperformance year-to-date of systematic funds vs discretionary funds, negative prices & their …

BO79: When The Evidence Isn’t Enough

May 15th, 2020

3:50

CTAs have found (the hard way) that conveying the facts may not be as enticing as telling a good story.

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BO78: Reminiscences of a Stock Operator & Markets Today vs the 1920s

May 14th, 2020

9:55

The eery accuracy of the infamous 1920s book, which still holds true today.  Maybe markets really haven’t changed that much?

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BO77: Expected Returns & Unexpected Drawdowns

May 13th, 2020

4:15

Why CTA & S&P500 returns are often wrongly compared.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most …

BO76: The Biggest Behavioural Bias

May 12th, 2020

1:17

Today we discuss the "mother of all biases".

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s read 50+ …

BO75: Volatility vs Risk and why Investors keeps getting this mixed up!

May 11th, 2020

2:50

Why Volatility differs from Risk, and how it may even be considered your friend.

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SI87: Dealing with stress when you bring down a bank ft. Nick Leeson

May 10th, 2020

1:27:09

We’re joined today by special guest Nick Leeson, who is famous for the collapse of Barings Bank, one the oldest banks in the world at the time, to …

BO74: Patience & Persistence

May 8th, 2020

3:19

Why having patience and keeping yourself in the right environment is vital to good investing.

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BO73: Four C’s of Good Investing: Conviction

May 7th, 2020

2:28

Having conviction is about having a justified belief in your strategy.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 …

BO72: Four C’s of Good Investing: Courageousness

May 6th, 2020

2:10

Being a good rules-based Investor can be a lonely road, and takes courage to follow.

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BO71: Four C’s of Good Investing: Clarity

May 5th, 2020

5:04

How to get Clarity and remove the noise of the markets.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most CIO’s …

BO70: Four C’s of Good Investing: Consistency

May 4th, 2020

4:11

How a few simple rules were 97% more accurate than predictions from a variety of experts, in fields like stock picking.

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SI86: Berkshire Hathaway shareholders meeting ft. Moritz Seibert

May 3rd, 2020

59:26

Today, we discuss comments from Warren Buffett in the recent Berkshire Hathaway shareholders meeting, AQR Capital’s recent research finding pure …

BO69: Process over Outcome

May 1st, 2020

2:25

Why a winning or losing bet may not mean that it was a good or bad decision.

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IT’s …

BO68: The Simple Secret to Overcome Emotions when Investing

April 30th, 2020

4:02

How a tried & tested strategy can offset the emotional risk when Investing.

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IT’s …

BO67: Why Investors are Naturally Risk Averse

April 29th, 2020

3:22

Daniel Crosby explains how our bodies shut our brains down & how this causes bad Investing behaviour.

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BO66: Why Investors (always) Fall for a Good Story

April 28th, 2020

6:18

Why we desire a good story & the effect this has on our investments.

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IT’s TRUE

BO65: The 4 Biases of Bad Investing Behaviour

April 27th, 2020

2:58

Daniel Crosby on Ego, Overconfidence, Emotion & Attention biases.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – …

SI85: Similarities between the market crashes of 1987 and 2020 ft. Nick Radge

April 25th, 2020

1:35:37

Today, special guest Nick Radge joins us on the show to discuss similarities between the market crashes of 1987 and 2020, the players behind the …

BO64: The Most CounterIntuitive Human Behaviour in Investing

April 24th, 2020

2:24

Why working harder doesn’t necessarily mean we’ll achieve better results.

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IT’s TRUE

BO63: The Behavioural Gap

April 23rd, 2020

7:09

Why the rules of good Investing are often a 180 degrees opposite to Human nature.

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BO62: How Simple Rules Cure Sick Portfolios

April 22nd, 2020

3:16

How simple rules eradicated an incurable disease in Africa, and how this can be related to good Investing behaviour.

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BO61: Overrated Knowledge & the Neglect of Behavioural Finance

April 21st, 2020

2:36

Daniel Crosby describes how knowledge can sometimes do very little to change Human behaviour, and so may not be as important as people think.

Follow …

BO60: Improving a Broken Model...can it be done?

April 20th, 2020

11:55

Listener question on how to improve a strategy that seems to be broken.  Should you take an overall approach, or discard any particular markets that …

SI84: Is pyramiding a bad strategy? and how many markets to trade? ft. Robert Carver

April 19th, 2020

1:13:23

We’re joined today by Robert Carver to discuss why classical Trend Following strategies did well in the recent selloff, the risks in OTC trading, why …

BO59: Howard Marks & the Definition of Buying Low

April 17th, 2020

6:32

Howard Mark’s recent thoughts on the importance of ‘buying low’, and what really constitutes ‘buying low’.

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BO58: The Balance between Innovation, Evolution and Stickability

April 16th, 2020

5:12

Why clients would benefit from lock-up periods, and the difference between evolving your strategies or sticking with it.

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BO57: A.I. Strategies With Human Biases

April 15th, 2020

6:21

Are A.I. programmers unknowingly passing their human biases into the algorithms?

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BO56: Sticking with Your System through the Good & the Bad Times

April 14th, 2020

10:09

The benefits of sticking with your system through good & bad times, even in the face of client pressure. Also why Investors benefit from not …

SI83: Responsible Investing and how to cope with extreme volatility ft. Moritz Seibert

April 13th, 2020

57:03

In this episode, we discuss how Trend Following strategies are able to cope with the extra volatility around huge world events,  Transtrend’s recent …

BO55: What Does It Take To Be A Successful Trader?

April 10th, 2020

2:41

Bill Dreiss shares his opinion on what it takes to be a successful Trader.

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IT’s TRUE

BO54: Embracing Volatility

April 9th, 2020

9:25

Bill Dreiss discusses embracing the uncontrollable nature of Volatility, and explains some of the dangers of what he calls ‘warehousing risk.

Follow …

BO53: Trend Trading vs Mean Reverting – What Should You Trade?

April 8th, 2020

2:43

Discussion on some of the reasons why Trend Following works, but why paradoxically, investors are lured toward mean-reversion.

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BO52: Thoughts on Risk Management and Leverage

April 7th, 2020

3:19

Bill Dreiss shares some of his thoughts on Risk Management and Leverage.

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IT’s TRUE

BO51: Insights to a Unique System Design

April 6th, 2020

4:19

Bill Dreiss takes us under the hood of his system, and explains why it’s so unique.

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SI82: Is Machine Learning and AI just a marketing ploy? ft. Harold de Boer

April 5th, 2020

1:27:39

Special guest, Harold de Boer of Transtrend, joins us on the show today to discuss why the recent returns disparity among CTAs might be good for the …

BO50: Why Trend Following (Still) Works

April 3rd, 2020

3:51

We explain why Trend Following will continue to perform over time.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – …

BO49: Do markets drive Performance or is it Skill?

April 2nd, 2020

4:39

How markets drive performance more so than skill, and why you need to trade longer-term.

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU …

BO48: Exploiting the Fractal Nature of Markets in a Systematic Way

April 1st, 2020

8:24

Bill Dreiss talks about his interest in Elliot Wave analysis & the Fractal nature of markets, and how he successfully have used this approach …

BO47: Our Worst Trade

March 31st, 2020

7:01

We go down memory lane and discuss our worst trades, and what we learned from them.

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BO46: When should You stay Out of a Market?

March 30th, 2020

2:07

We discuss when a Trend Follower would be neither Long nor Short.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – …

SI81: Why simple ideas can often be more robust than complex ideas ft. Moritz Seibert

March 28th, 2020

1:16:35

Today, we discuss the benefits of focusing on highly liquid markets, why Trend Following strategies are usually less risky & volatile in any …

BO45: Should You Adjust Your Position Size During A Trade?

March 27th, 2020

3:55

Is increasing or reducing an existing position during a trade, something you should do?

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU …

BO44: How much should I Allocate to Trend Following?

March 26th, 2020

6:01

What is the perfect allocation percentage to Trend Following, and other assets, in a diversified portfolio?

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BO43: Are CTAs Causing Market Sell-Offs?

March 25th, 2020

12:36

JP Morgan blames CTA strategies for causing large market selloffs. We give our view!

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BO42: The value of Big Data & AI will be Tested during the Coronavirus Turmoil

March 24th, 2020

7:54

Can you really figure out the markets by using ‘Big Data’ and ‘AI’?

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – …

BO41: How to Deal with Clients During Drawdowns

March 23rd, 2020

3:23

How you deal with clients during drawdowns and how you manage expectations can make or break your business?

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SI80: Why uncomfortable trades can turn out to be the most profitable ft. Eric Crittenden

March 23rd, 2020

1:35:18

This week, special guest Eric Crittenden joins us on the show to discuss: the importance of being able to trade short positions, how the best Trend …

BO40: Does Jerry Parker Trade Synthetic Instruments?

March 20th, 2020

3:10

Discussion on whether or not to trade Synthetic Instruments.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – most …

BO39: Can Market Timing using Technical Indicators be Profitable?

March 19th, 2020

6:01

Discussion a recent Barron’s article which says that the 200-Day Moving Average no longer works – perhaps Barron’s have changed their mind after …

BO38: Systematic vs Discretionary Investing

March 18th, 2020

7:41

We discuss The Curious Investor podcast episode on Systematic vs Discretionary Investing.

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU …

BO37: Does Trend Following still work? Comments from David Harding, Cliff Asness & Stanley Druckenmiller

March 17th, 2020

12:01

“Experts” claim that the character of the markets has changed in recent years. We discuss comments from David Harding, Stanley Druckenmiller & …

BO36: The Time It Takes To Stick With Your Rules

March 16th, 2020

7:12

Today we discuss a listener question, regarding the usual time it takes before being able to follow a Trading System religiously.

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SI79: A historical volatile week put into perspective ft. Robert Carver

March 15th, 2020

1:41:36

We’re joined on the show today by special guest Robert Carver, to discuss another historically volatile week in the markets, the differences between …

BO35: A Month in the Life of a CTA

March 12th, 2020

4:30

Today we discuss a question from the audience about what goes on in the life of a CTA.

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU …

BO34: More Fiction in Excel than in Word

March 12th, 2020

3:54

The likeliness to curve fit data from backtests, and get excited about numbers which may not materialise.

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BO33: Howard Marks & Limiting Downside Potential

March 11th, 2020

7:24

When Howard Marks speaks, we should all pay attention. And today’s topic about focusing on the Risk rather than the Upside in your portfolio…is just …

BO32: Trend Following: The Perfect Hedge, or the Perfect Portfolio?

March 10th, 2020

10:12

We discuss why we believe that Trend Following could rightly be viewed as the Perfect Portfolio, and sometimes the Perfect Hedge.

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BO31: Equity Indices – Who Wants To Be Average?

March 8th, 2020

4:53

Why do equity investors aim to be average? And how to aim for more.

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IT’s TRUE 👀 – …

SI78: Tom Basso’s research on higher Trend Following returns as volatility increases

March 8th, 2020

1:15:38

This week, we discuss the potential benefits of investing in more than one systematic fund, Tom Basso’s research finding that Trend Following returns …

BO30: Historical Data, Backtests, & Track Records

March 6th, 2020

4:53

What is the optimal time frame when analysing a track record & why can seemingly correlated strategies have very different returns?

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BO29: Trend Following vs Buy & Hold

March 5th, 2020

6:19

Want to know what the real benefit of Trend Following is, compared to the traditional Buy & Hold method? Find out in today’s episode…there may be …

BO28: Long Trades Vs. Short Trades

March 4th, 2020

6:24

You may be surprised of the difference between how well Short and Long trades perform…but why it’s still important to trade both.

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BO27: 2019 In Review – The Investor’s RetroSpective

March 3rd, 2020

12:58

End of 2019 wrap up, with thoughts on Bonds, Bitcoin, the decade just gone by, and the connection between Netflix & Dominos Pizza.

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SI77: Trading through the quickest 10% correction in stock market history

March 1st, 2020

1:15:15

After the quickest 10% correction straight from an all-time-high in stock market history last week, we discuss how human emotions & behaviours played their part, the threat of the coronavirus and its effect on world …

SI76: Can trading too many markets prevent you from achieving above average returns?

February 23rd, 2020

1:01:54

In today’s episode, we discuss whether attempting to trade every market at the same time may hinder any conviction necessary for above-average …

SI75: Morgan Housel on history being a bad guide for the future

February 16th, 2020

59:47

On today’s show, we discuss Morgan Housel’s recent article on history & historians generally being a bad guide for the future, the popularity of …

SI74: Trading TESLA during its parabolic move

February 8th, 2020

1:12:48

This week, we discuss how Jerry approached his Tesla trade during last week’s parabolic move up, the value of sleeping well at night in comparison to …

SI73: How too much experience can work against your investments

February 3rd, 2020

1:37:52

On today’s show, we discuss when having lots of experience can sometimes work against you, why hard and fast rules can be better than making …

SI72: Crisis and how CTAs provide protection during stock market declines

January 26th, 2020

1:18:25

Today, we discuss how CTAs provide Investors with protection during stock market declines, how the term Crisis Alpha may be linked to reduced …

SI71: The "quant winter" and the reliability of fundamental analysis

January 20th, 2020

1:30:10

This week, we discuss the reliability of Fundamental Analysis sell rules versus Trend Following sell rules, the so-called ‘Quant winter’ that …

SI70: How to design and backtest your system ft. Andreas Clenow (Part 2)

January 14th, 2020

29:16

Today we continue our interview with Andreas Clenow, where we cover topics such as backtesting & system design, whether we see any growth in the CTA industry, long-term vs short-term Investing, and how to go about …

SI70: Combining models to improve Risk-Adjusted returns ft. Andreas Clenow (Part 1)

January 13th, 2020

1:18:41

In the first of a 2-part special with Andreas Clenow, we discuss why combining Models might improve your Risk-Adjusted Returns in the long run, …

SI69: Richard Thaler on the perils of overconfidence and how to overcome it

January 5th, 2020

1:16:33

In this first episode of 2020, we discuss whether there any investment strategies that can work during all times, the recent Barron’s article …

SI68: The surprising relationship between volatility and risk

December 29th, 2019

1:23:09

In this week’s episode, we discuss the notion of correlation between volatility and risk, why it can be a bad idea to equate a manager’s performance …

SI67: The psychology of predictions

December 23rd, 2019

1:06:29

This week, we touch on the difference a year makes, how good position sizing can reduce anxiety, the recent article from AQR by Cliff Asness,  why a …

SI66: Why price is a better guide to higher returns than expert opinion

December 15th, 2019

58:43

In this week’s episode, find out why investing in a strategy during a drawdown can be profitable in the long-run, why risk-adjusted performance is more important than tracking against an index,  why price is a better …

SI65: How doing less can ensure bigger and better returns over time

December 9th, 2019

1:09:18

This week, we discuss how doing less can ensure bigger & better results over time, average client holding periods versus the recommended amount …

SI64: The difference between Warehousing vs Recognising Risk

December 2nd, 2019

1:15:51

This week, we discuss the differences between recognising risk and ‘warehousing’ risk, why Fundamental Investors could benefit from implementing …

SI63: Are stock pickers overrated?

November 24th, 2019

1:27:23

Is the concept of being a great stock picker overrated?  Are Trend Following returns mean-reverting over time?  Will Sharpe Ratios of Trend Following …

SI62: The benefits of running a multi-strategy portfolio

November 17th, 2019

1:16:11

In this week’s edition, we discuss the possible benefits of running a multi-strategy portfolio, whether or not you need to have a ‘feel’ for the …

SI61: Jim Simons & Renaissance Technologies

November 10th, 2019

1:14:07

In this week’s episode, we discuss the recently published book on Jim Simons & Renaissance Technologies, why you shouldn’t be too focused on one …

SI60: The dangers of "Home" bias and the benefits of Diversification

November 3rd, 2019

1:09:09

This week, we cover some of the dangers of ‘Home Bias’, and the benefits of diversification mixed with good risk management. We also discuss the …

SI59: The dangers of investing in "stories" but why we all do it

October 29th, 2019

54:39

On the show today, we cover some of the dangers of investing in something based on its story alone, how market environments can change while the …

SI58: The consequences of Bank of America declaring the END of the 60/40 portfolio

October 19th, 2019

1:06:32

This week, we discuss Bank of America’s declaration of the end of the traditional 60/40 portfolio, the different attitudes to having ‘insurance’ in …

SI57: Why investors confuse volatility & noise with risk & instability

October 13th, 2019

1:05:18

On this week’s episode, we discuss the tendency for investors to confuse volatility & noise with risk and instability, the benefits of great …

SI56: The risk of smooth and steady returns for risk avers investors

October 7th, 2019

1:17:41

This week, we discuss the potential risks of aiming for smooth & steady returns, the pitfalls of having to make predictions, the higher-than-expected appearances of tail events, why it’s dangerous to look at the …

TTU111: Alignment of Interest ft. Alan Sheen of Dalton Street Capital – 2of2

October 2nd, 2019

55:05
“We do two of the hardest styles of investing that I am aware of.” – Alan Sheen (Tweet)

Today on Top Traders Unplugged, I continue our conversation with Alan Sheen, talking about how and why he designed Dalton Street …

SI55: Aligning your investments with the best odds and why the Sharpe needs salt

September 29th, 2019

1:14:13

In this week’s episode, we discuss why Sharpe Ratios should be taken with a pinch of salt, the benefits of using a Trading Coach, why consistently …

TTU110: The Opportunity of Volatility ft. Alan Sheen of Dalton Street Capital – 1of2

September 25th, 2019

39:46
“I learned everything I ever needed to know about systematic and quantitative investing even before I set foot in the field because systematic and quantitative investing, at the end of the day, is about discipline.” – …

SI54: Why NOT losing money is more important than missing opportunities

September 22nd, 2019

1:09:07

In this episode, we discuss Howard Mark’s comments regarding not losing money being more important than missing opportunities, how solid Trend …

RT27: Why Emotion overrides cognition...dramatically ft. Daniel Crosby – 2of2

September 18th, 2019

37:22
“Emotion overrides cognition pretty dramatically” – Daniel Crosby (Tweet)

Welcome to Top Traders Round Table, a podcast series on managed futures brought to you by CME Group. On today’s episode, host Niels …

SI53: Why most successful Hedge Funds employ Systematic strategies

September 16th, 2019

1:10:46

In today’s episode, we discuss if it’s possible to successfully blur the lines between Discretionary & Systematic Trading, why most of the …

MacroVoices: Niels Kaastrup-Larsen on Algorithmic Trading & Trend Following

September 13th, 2019

59:09

The tables have turned! In this episode, Niels Kaastrup-Larsen becomes the first featured guest on Erik Townsend’s newest podcast – MacroVoices …

RT26: Overcoming behavioural biases ft. Daniel Crosby – 1of2

September 12th, 2019

31:53
“If we can follow just a couple of simple rules, we can overcome the behavioral errors which are the plague of so many investors.” – Daniel Crosby (

SI52: Working with legendary Paul Tudor Jones ft. Peter Borish

September 10th, 2019

1:21:43

In our special Anniversary Edition of the Systematic Investor Podcast, we invite Peter Borish onto the show to discuss the differences between Discretionary and Systematic Investing, Peter’s journey from the New York …

SI51: Improving Diversification through multiple trading approaches

September 2nd, 2019

1:13:02

In this week’s show, we discuss using multiple systems to further enhance diversification, the differences between a portfolio meeting expectations …

SI50: Why great investing is counter-intuitive to Human Nature

August 25th, 2019

1:25:46

Today we discuss the potential dangers of avoiding simplicity, how good Trading is counter-intuitive to Human Nature, the benefits of doing the same thing over and over, how to earn big profits through aggressive Trend …

SI49: Morgan Housel's universal laws of investing and the importance of investor behaviour

August 19th, 2019

1:17:14

Today, we discuss the potential dangers of taking time away from the markets, the importance of Investor behaviour over the ability to analyse data, Morgan Housel’s article on the universal Laws of Investing, the …

SI48: The state of the Bond market and do Institutions affect CTA performance

August 10th, 2019

1:12:37

This week, we discuss the current state of the Bond market, how the larger, commercial institutions affect overall CTA Trend Following performance, …

SI47: Don't fall in Love with your positions

August 5th, 2019

1:21:15

This week, we discuss the importance of avoiding any emotional attachments to your positions, how correlated markets can affect your portfolio, how …

BO26: Behavioral Finance, Crisis Alpha & the Adaptive Market Hypothesis

July 31st, 2019

15:10

When it comes to Behavioural Finance, a few people stand out in terms of their contribution to helping us all understand why and how it works. The intersection between Human Behaviour and Quantitative Investing can be …

SI46: Are commodities more risky to trade than equities?

July 29th, 2019

1:17:14

This week, we discuss whether commodities are more risky to trade than equities, if a stocks-only Trend Following strategy can be profitable in the …

BO25: Un-Learning, Keeping an Open Mind & The Legacy of AHL

July 24th, 2019

13:25

It has been said that: ‘The biggest room of all, is the room for improvement’, and one thing that is clear to see in the amazing careers of today’s guests, is the continued hunger for learning in the quest for an …

SI45: Ray Dailo's paradigm shift and Gold as a safe-haven

July 21st, 2019

1:17:45

In this week’s episode, we discuss Ray Dalio’s recent article on Paradigm Shifts and his comments on the safety of Gold.  We also touch on the perils …

BO24: The Importance of Asset Allocation & Patience

July 17th, 2019

24:31

In 1987, 3 scientists, 1 from Cambridge and 2 from Oxford, were brought together by their shared passion for the markets and for computers.  Little …

SI44: Should you buy the new 98-year Austrian Bond? and Volatility vs Risk targeting

July 15th, 2019

1:20:29

On this week’s episode, we discuss the resurgence of ‘boutique’ funds, the new Austrian bond which promises a yield of 1.2% over 98 years, why having new markets to Trade can be good thing, and the differences between …

BO23: Reminiscences of 3 Trend Followers...the AHL Trilogy

July 10th, 2019

13:52

One of the great Investment books of all time is Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, which is the fictionalized biography of perhaps the most famous …

SI43: Cliff Asness on the difficulty on sticking to a strategy through volatile periods

July 8th, 2019

1:01:10

In this episode, we discuss the recent article from AQR Capital’s Cliff Asness on the difficulty of sticking to a strategy through volatile periods, …

SI42: Are Stanley Druckenmiller and David Harding right about Trend Following? ft. Salem Abraham

July 1st, 2019

1:32:54

Today we’re joined on the show by Salem Abraham, a legendary Trend Follower, and President of Abraham Trading Company based in Canadian, Texas.  We …

SI41: Bitcoin's recent rally and benefits of trading single stocks

June 23rd, 2019

1:33:33

On today’s episode, we give our thoughts on the recent Bitcoin rally, the possible benefits of trading single stocks rather than indices, how spending less time looking at the markets can benefit your Trading, and we …

SI40: Is past performance actually indicative of future returns? ft. Corey Hoffstein

June 16th, 2019

1:40:10

This week, we’re joined by Corey Hoffstein from Newfound Research, who also hosts the Flirting With Models podcast.  We discuss his journey into Systematic Investing, why the year you enter the markets will likely …

BO22: You don’t need to be a Genius if you can Stick to a Plan

June 11th, 2019

21:26

In the previous Best of Top Traders Unplugged, we went back in time to re-visit some of the key lessons that many investors learned during the Financial Crisis of 2008. It was my way of reminding myself, and you, of …

SI39: How to trade the VIX and do Trend Followers have an edge?

June 9th, 2019

1:12:01

Can the VIX index be traded as part of a successful Trend Following strategy?  Do CTAs have the edge over traditional Hedge Funds by being invested …

BO21: Trading for a Living

June 6th, 2019

16:29

The financial crisis back in 2008 is slowly fading from the memories of investors. But for those of us who lived and traded through it, many important lessons were learned, and usually the hard way.  For many investors, …

SI38: Process over outcome and how sports relates to trading

June 2nd, 2019

1:32:40

This week, we discuss the importance of process over outcome, how sports can be related to Trading, and whether mistakes are to be avoided completely …

BO20: How to start & grow a CTA business

May 28th, 2019

19:28

I get a lot of questions about ideas to help build the best Trading Model, and I understand why many aspiring managers feel that this is critical to their future success.  There is though, a lot of truth in the saying: …

SI37: Is "Buy and Hold" the perfect investment strategy? and should you "Equal Weight"?

May 25th, 2019

1:06:01

Is ‘Buy & Hold’ the S&P500 index the perfect investment strategy?  Should you apply Equal-Weighting across all of your Trading positions?  …

BO19: The Evolution and Future of Trend Following

May 21st, 2019

22:06

Regardless of the investment strategy that you apply to the markets, your strategy or approach needs to evolve over time.  The way we did Trend …

SI36: Can you measure the quality of your strategy on your stress-level?

May 19th, 2019

1:08:32

In today’s episode, we discuss whether or not Trend Following is more effective with Volatility Targeting, how cautious you should be of outlier …

SI35: The journey from managing personal money to external clients

May 12th, 2019

1:25:56

Today, we discuss how to go from managing personal money to third-party money, in this current regulatory environment. We clear up some confusion …

SI34: Can Central Banks and policies prevent trends in the future?

May 5th, 2019

1:33:11

In today’s episode, we discuss how much central banks or political events, can prevent or create market trends in the future.  We also discuss AQR …

RT25: Alpha decay in Short-Term strategies ft. John Fidler, Jonathan Miles & Christopher Vogt – 2of2

May 2nd, 2019

30:42
“Over the years, I have allocated to a lot of short term CTAs… but due to the alpha decay factor to short-term models, not really made any money from it.” – John Fidler (Tweet)

On today’s episode, guest host Ranjan …

BO18: How to test a model over decades of Data

April 30th, 2019

34:28

I often see the press write that too much money is chasing the same trends, and this being the reason that Trend Following strategies have been …

SI33: The positive effect of embracing volatility ft. Wayne Himelsein

April 29th, 2019

1:51:56

This week, we invite special guest Wayne Himelsein onto the show from Logica Capital Advisers, in Los Angeles.  Wayne explains his journey into starting a Hedge Fund, some of the lessons he has learned over the years, …

RT24: The Value of Liquidity ft. John Fidler, Christopher Vogt & Jonathan Miles – 1of2

April 24th, 2019

31:01
“Not all managed future strategies are created equal.” – John Fidler (Tweet)

On today’s episode, guest host Ranjan Bhaduri speaks with John Fidler, Senior VP and Director of Alternative Investments at Commonwealth Bank …

SI32: How accurately can we predict future returns? and can trading with systems keep you happy?

April 22nd, 2019

1:32:27

Are CTAs giving the wrong message by charging low performance fees? Is there a perfect amount of AUM to aim for?  Can Systematic Trading keep you happy?  How accurately can we predict future returns?  We discuss whether …

BO17: Track records vs Simulations... what’s Best?

April 15th, 2019

21:35

For those of us who have been on the manager side for a while, you’ll know that investors love to analyse decades of performance data before deciding which manager they are going to invest with, and that makes a lot of …

SI31: Should you be using a Stop-Loss? or Target a certain level of Volatility?

April 15th, 2019

1:26:38

Does Systematic Trading completely eliminate all emotions from the process?  Is it wise to use Stop-Losses?  Should CTAs target low-volatility & …

BO16: Crisis Alpha explained

April 10th, 2019

21:53

Kathryn Kaminski is one of my favorite people to discuss Trend Following with, because she has a great way of simplifying and explaining some of the …

SI30: Should you adjust your position size based on recent volatility?

April 7th, 2019

1:34:27

Is it wise to adjust position-size according to recent volatility? Can back-testing a Trend Following strategy end up as just being a form of …

BO15: Why Trend Following is Not a Black Box

April 4th, 2019

14:11

Often, a Trend following strategy is described as being a ‘Black Box’, as if something bad was going on.  So it was refreshing to hear Scott Foster …

SI29: Can Value Investing be applied to Gold? and Trend Following as a forecasting tool ft. Jesse Felder

March 31st, 2019

1:17:23

In this episode, we’re joined by special guest, Jesse Felder, from The Felder Report & the SuperInvestor Podcast.  Jesse describes his journey …

RT23: Populism and Market Risks ft. Chris Cole, Matthew Sargaison & Dan Stone – 2of2

March 27th, 2019

29:26
“This is where the populism intercedes with the market risks. I think people look at these risks as independent risks, so they’re not looking at them …

SI28: Investing based on the "Evidence" and what are the Trend Commandments?

March 24th, 2019

1:22:29

On today’s show, we give our thoughts on ‘Evidence-Based Investing’, David Harding’s latest comments on Trend Following, how much is too much ‘Open …

RT22: Volatility Master Class ft. Chris Cole, Matthew Sargaison & Dan Stone – 1of2

March 20th, 2019

30:40
“I think the idea is that the math of quantitative easing really matters. It’s all about the shift at the margin.” – Dan Stone (Tweet)

Welcome to Top Traders Round Table, a podcast series on managed futures brought to …

SI27: Volatility vs Risk...What's the difference? and are CTAs useless?

March 16th, 2019

1:08:03

Discussion points this week include, Volatility vs Risk, the differences between Trading and Investing, Zero Hedge’s comment about CTAs & Trend …

SI26: Is it more profitable to invest longer-term? and Druckenmiller on being greedy

March 10th, 2019

1:23:19

Is it more profitable to be longer-term? When is Trend Following the wrong strategy to use?  Should you ‘ease’ into a trade, or go all in, and how …

BO14: How ”slow” trading can be Profitable

March 5th, 2019

13:11

Would you believe somebody if they told you they had been very successful in the investment world, by looking at the just markets once a week? …

SI25: Where to start your Trend Following jouney?

March 3rd, 2019

1:37:57

Discussion points this week include: Where to start if you want to become a Trend Following Trader, whether or not to trade markets differently, …

RT21: What's next for Hedge Funds? ft. Jake Barton, Trent Webster & Steven Wilson – 2of2

March 1st, 2019

44:00
“There’s a lot more data in some ways, but there is also a lot less interesting information that is differentiated.” – Jake Barton (Tweet)

Welcome to Top Traders Round Table, a podcast series on managed futures brought …

SI24: Why Trend Following has "failed" to attract a lot of Assets ft. Meb Faber

February 24th, 2019

1:33:38

Meb Faber joins the show to discuss his journey into Trend Following, where Trend Following funds have gone wrong in terms of attracting assets & …

RT20: The Looming Pension Crisis ft. Jake Barton, Trent Webster & Steven Wilson – 1of2

February 20th, 2019

49:42
“Being a mid-twenties analyst during the 2008 financial crisis was a very eye opening experience, and it showed me the importance of being methodical and critical, and not quick to make decisions whenever you’re faced …

SI23: What is the value of the 200-Day Moving Average?

February 17th, 2019

1:33:48

What is the value of the 200-day Moving Average, the benefit of tried and tested strategies vs new and trendy strategies?  Are drawdowns a necessary component of a robust strategy, and what is the optimum startup …

BO13: The History of Trend Following

February 13th, 2019

10:55

The concept of Trend Following has been around for a long time, but it wasn’t until a few years back, that the Bible on Trend Following was written …

SI22: Can intra-day trading be scaled to a big business?

February 10th, 2019

1:32:50

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get …

BO12: Market Psychology & Universal Truths

February 4th, 2019

11:04

A while back, I had a very enjoyable time speaking to Scott Foster from Dominion Capital Management, who is not your typical Trader. He draws from a wide range of influences such as Aristotle, Magic, and Austrian …

SI21: Why the biggest drawdown is always ahead of you or so they say

February 4th, 2019

1:13:27

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get …

BO11: Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication

January 30th, 2019

16:34

A few years back, I had a great discussion with die-hard Trend Follower, Scot Billington.  I would like to share some key moments with you, including …

SI20: Crisis Alpha...To Love or Not To Love

January 28th, 2019

1:06:36

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get …

RT19: Who actually learned from the last financial crisis? ft. Andrew Lo & Sol Waksman – 2of2

January 23rd, 2019

41:57
“If someone wants a better return, they have no choice but to take additional risk, no matter how they feel about risk or how risk averse they may …

SI19: Can you apply Trend Following to Life?

January 20th, 2019

1:01:55

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get …

RT18: Are markets really Efficient? ft. Andrew Lo & Sol Waksman – 1of2

January 16th, 2019

40:52
“Markets are efficient most of the time. Every once in a while, human behavior ultimately overwhelms the kind of rational deliberation that efficient …

SI18: How to know if you are over-fitting your model parameters

January 13th, 2019

1:06:14

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get …

SI17: The philosophy of Trend Following

January 7th, 2019

1:12:46

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get …

SI16: What Returns and Drawdowns can you expect from Trend Following

December 29th, 2018

1:13:07

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get …

SI15: Has too much Diversification hurt performance in recent years?

December 22nd, 2018

1:30:03

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get …

BO10: Systematic Global Macro…an Experts view

December 19th, 2018

14:50

A while back I had a very memorable time talking with Anders Lindell, discussing many trading related topics.  There was one part in particular that …

SI14: How many markets should you include in your portfolio?

December 15th, 2018

49:23

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get …

BO09: From Discretionary Trading to a Systematic Approach

December 11th, 2018

11:21

At the very beginning of my podcasting career, I had a great conversation with Mike Dever covering many trading related topics, one of which were the different approaches to trading. And there was One segment I really …

SI13: The market impact of too much money following trends

December 9th, 2018

51:49

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get …

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